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← Market structure

Reading trend from price

6 min read · Educational content only, not investment advice.

Swings define trend

An uptrend prints higher highs and higher lows; a downtrend prints lower highs and lower lows.

Mark swing points on a completed-candle chart. A swing high is a candle high with lower highs on both sides; a swing low is the mirror.

Break, pending, confirmed

A break of the last swing low in an uptrend is a warning, not a reversal.

A reversal is confirmed only when price then fails to make a new high and prints a lower high.

Between the break and confirmation the trend is in transition — treat it as unclear, not as the opposite trend.

Indicators support, never override

EMA 20/50 alignment and ADX 14 strength add weight to a structural read.

When indicators disagree with structure, structure wins and confidence drops.

Key takeaways

  • Structure first, indicators second.
  • A break is a warning; a lower high confirms.
  • Transition means stand aside or reduce size.